Brazil’s 2022 Election: A Return For Lula?
Thursday, 6th October 2022
10:00 New York EDT | 11:00 Brasilia BRT | 15:00 London BST
Brazil’s 2022 general election will be a pivotal event in the trajectory of Latin America’s largest economy. The presidential race – pitting the incumbent, Jair Bolsonaro, against a number of other candidates including most notably former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva – comes at a time of high polarisation in Brazil. A victory by Lula, the current polling frontrunner, would be a historical shift back towards the left in Brazil, while raising the risk that Bolsonaro could contest the result.
In this webinar, which will take place after the first round of the election, we at Fitch Solutions will recap the results from the first round on October 2 and look ahead to the run-off vote, analysing the likely scenarios and what might happen in the immediate aftermath of the election. Then we will provide a holistic assessment of the election’s likely impact on economic growth, fiscal policy, and a number of key sectors of the Brazilian economy, including Oil & Gas, Infrastructure, and Power & Renewables.
Topics covered will include:
- An assessment of the results from the first round.
- The likely scenarios for Brazil’s run-off election on October 30 and the immediate aftermath.
- The likely trajectory of economic policy under either a Bolsonaro or Lula presidency, and how it will impact Brazil’s growth outlook.
- Our expectations for how the election will impact a number of key sectors, particularly Oil & Gas, Infrastructure and Power & Renewables.
Head of Latin America Country Risk
Andrew Trahan heads up the Fitch Solutions Americas Country Risk team. He is based in the New York office, and leads the coverage of Mexico, Venezuela, Nicaragua and several Caribbean markets. He joined Fitch Solutions in 2016 after finishing a BA at Louisiana State University.
Associate Director, Infrastructure
Matteo Addonizio is an Associate Director in the Country Risk and Industry Research division at Fitch Solutions, specialising in infrastructure and construction research. He joined Fitch Solutions in 2017 as an Infrastructure Analyst primarily covering Latin America and has since expanded his geographical focus to also include North America and select European markets. Since 2021, Matteo has taken on an expanded role as team lead for the infrastructure service, coordinating content output and overseeing global thematic infrastructure analysis. Matteo holds an MSc from the London School of Economics and Political Science and a BA from Suffolk University.
Oil & Gas Analyst
Dominika Rzechorzek is an Oil & Gas Analyst covering the Americas region. She joined Fitch Solutions in 2019 and is based in New York. She previously completed a MA in Finance and Accounting and a BA in International Economics at Warsaw School of Economics.
THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS COUNTRY RISK & INDUSTRY RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on Fitch Ratings' Credit Ratings. Any comments or data are solely derived from Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research and independent sources. Fitch Ratings analysts do not share data or information with Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research.